Thursday, May 11, 2006

Marc Faber interview

From Rediff.com, Marc Faber (of the Gloom Boom and Doom report fame) says, Long bull run = Big bubble. Click to read the whole piece, but here are a few excerpts

Today in real terms, in the western world, people have relatively low incomes and asset values are high measured by the Dow Jones or by housing prices.

One could argue that in the long run most things will appreciate in value, but the problem is that most companies live only 30 years and then they die. In other words, they go bankrupt.So when people talk about stocks going up in the long run, one would have to constantly re-balance one's portfolio.

I suppose the longer a bull market lasts, the more likely it is that it will end in a colossal bubble because if you consider that there are in this room several asset classes: real estate, stocks, bonds, commodities, etc.

I am sceptical about analysts that specialise in one sector because they have vested interest that that sector remains popular and actually attracts a lot of money. It is the same as a fund manager -- he cannot turn and tell his investor I don't think you should invest in India if he is an Indian fund because if his investors leave his fund, then he has no business left.

The gold price has gone up in dollar terms and that could continue for quite some time. I think eventually the world will be very apprehensive to hold dollars and will rush into assets.

Read the full piece, you wont be dissappointed.

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